1. Forex Market Insight
The euro reached a seven-month high shortly against the dollar on Wednesday 11th January 2023 but stayed within a narrow range as markets avoided making big moves ahead of Thursday’s U.S. inflation data, which could provide clearer clues on the direction of interest rates.
(EUR/USD 1-hour Chart)
We focus on the 1.0734 line today. If the EUR runs below the 1.0734 line, then pay attention to the support strength of the two positions of 1.0697 and 1.0642. If the strength of EUR rises over the 1.0734 line, then pay attention to the suppression strength of the two positions of 1.0776 and 1.0832.
GBP Intraday Trend Analysis
The British pound continued to be in a narrow range against the dollar, closing the day basically remained the same position as the previous trading day, closing around 1.2148.
The Fed has not revealed that if this year will cut interest rates, while also promising to maintain high-interest rates, but the market has a strong feeling that the Fed will reduce the increase range of interest rates and the year ahead will also go down the interest rates. Thus, increasing the dollar short bets, resulting in the continued firmness of the pound.
(GBP/USD 1-hour Chart)
GBP is mainly focused on the 1.2111-line today. If GBP runs below the 1.12111-line, it will pay attention to the suppression strength of the two positions of 1.2010 and 1.1902. If GBP runs above the 1.2111-line, then pay attention to the suppression strength of the two positions of 1.2222 and 1.2311.
2. Precious Metals Market Insight
Gold prices held steady after hitting an eight-month high on Wednesday 11th January 2023 as the market braced for U.S. inflation data that could influence the Fed’s policy path.
The U.S. consumer price report will be closely watched after the Federal Reserve slowed its pace of rate hikes to 50 basis points in December after four consecutive 75-basis-point increases.
The market expects the Fed to have a 77% chance of raising the indicator rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%-4.75% in February and believes rates will peak at 4.92% in June.
(Gold 1-hour Chart)
Gold pays attention to the 1880-line today. If the gold price runs below the 1880-line, then it will pay attention to the support strength of the 1866 and 1847 positions. If the gold price breaks above the 1880-line, then pay attention to the suppression strength of the two positions of 1892 and 1909.
3. Commodities Market Insight
WTI Crude Oil
Oil prices rose 3% to a one-week high Wednesday 11th January 2023 as hopes for an improved global economic outlook and concerns about the impact of sanctions on Russian crude production outweighed the impact of an unexpected surge in U.S. crude inventories.
Both indicator contracts closed at their highest points since Dec. 30, with U.S. crude rising for a fifth straight day, the first since October, and Brent for a third straight day, the first since December.
(Crude Oil 1-hour Chart)
Oil prices focus on the 77.76- line today. If the oil price runs above the 77.76 -line, then focus on the suppression strength of the two positions of 76.07 and 80.13. If the oil price runs below the 77.76 -line, then pay attention to the support strength of the two positions of 76.94 and 76.07.
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