The market is betting that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again, but gold prices are supported by safe-haven demand, holding above the 1980 level.
Risk appetite increased after the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, leading to a strong rally in oil prices, ending a three-day decline. The market is focusing on the non-farm payroll report.
Gold prices continued to rise on Thursday, building on the rebound from the previous day. Spot gold gained 0.15%, closing at $1985.77 per ounce, while December gold futures rose 0.30% to $1993.50 per ounce.
Analysts suggest that declining U.S. Treasury yields, a weaker U.S. dollar, and market expectations that the Federal Reserve won’t raise interest rates further have put pressure on interest-less gold.
However, the ongoing risk of the Israel-Palestine conflict escalation and global economic conditions are supporting the prospect of further gains in safe-haven gold. The market is closely watching the U.S. non-farm payroll report to gain further insights into the Fed’s policy path.
From a technical perspective, gold maintained a narrow consolidation at higher levels. During the Asian-European session, it saw a slight rebound around the $1981 level. In the afternoon, prices rose slowly to the $1985-1988 range and entered a sideways consolidation.
In the late U.S. session, it accelerated to break through the $1990 level but faced resistance, leading to a quick decline. In the early morning, gold continued to test lower levels, breaking through the $1979 support before rebounding and ending the session with a shake.
Today’s short-term trading strategy for gold suggests focusing on short positions during rebounds, with long positions considered on pullbacks.
- Key resistance levels to watch in the short term are around 1998-2003.
- Key support levels to watch in the short term are around 1974-1969.
WTI Crude Oil >>
On the second day after the Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate, risk appetite returned to the financial markets, causing oil prices to rise above $82 per barrel, breaking a three-day downward trend.
Crude oil futures rose by $2.23 per barrel, or 2.8%, closing at $82.46, while Brent crude oil futures increased by $2.22 per barrel, or 2.6%, closing at $86.85.
Market expectations suggest that the largest oil-exporting nation, Saudi Arabia, will voluntarily extend its production cut deadline to December, with an announcement expected in early November.
Although the increase in crude oil production is lower than expected, as crude oil usage continues to fall below demand, U.S. crude oil reserves are still increasing, dispelling concerns in the energy market about a severe shortage of crude oil supply. The market is closely watching Friday’s U.S. non-farm employment data.
From a technical perspective, oil prices initially rose and then retraced, with a washout after a rebound, consolidating before a downward movement.
The daily chart shows a small bearish candlestick with an upper shadow, which, in combination with the previous day’s resistance and overlapping levels around 83.30-83.50, suggests short-term bearish defense in this area.
Today’s crude oil trading strategy suggests focusing primarily on long positions on pullbacks and considering short positions on high rebounds.
- Key resistance levels to monitor in the short term are around 84.0-84.5.
- Key support levels to monitor in the short term are around 81.5-81.0.
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